Well, one day later here are my thoughts on the Nestor Molina for Sergio Santos trade.
To keep it short, I like it. Anyone who is upset about losing Molina to bring in Santos should consider this: Nestor Molina is probably less than you would have had to give up to bring in Huston Street or Andrew Bailey (and frankly, I'd rather have him than either of those two), and the Jays would have had to pay out way too much cash to lure the likes of Madson, Cordero, or K-Rod into coming here.
At the start of this off-season I was a little frightened when Alex announced it as his mission to bring in a closer. I was afraid that we might overpay for a Pappelbon, Madson, or Bell. But then again, I was also under the impression that the Blue Jays had money to spend. Which, according to Alex Anthopoulos yesterday, they do not. *cough* bullcrap *cough*.
Then when the rumours started to come out that Toronto was interested in trading for Andrew Bailey or Huston Street, I got really worried. After Bailey's injury last year, and Street, even though he wasn't terrible, putting up a season where he posted career highs in both ERA and WHIP. I'm not convinced that either one of those guys would be a better option than trying Casey Janssen or Jesse Litsch in the ninth, and I shudder to think what we would have had to give up to bring them here.
I am not in favour of paying top dollar for a closer. I'd much rather a bat to hit behind Bautista. Yes I am aware of how many blown saves Toronto had last year. However I'm also aware of how many of those games they still won, and that some of those blown saves came in pairs. (two in the same game). Was it frustrating that they did blow so many saves? Of course it was. But I still think that signing a closer to a multi-year deal is risky business. There are not that many that you can point a finger at and declare them effective for four seasons or more in a row. There are some, sure. But do you think Pappelbon, Madson, Bailey, or Street is going to be as dominant for four more seasons moving forward? I'm not so sure.
Santos' return to Toronto gives the Jays a reliever with quality stuff to fill the ninth inning role. This season he saved 30 games in 36 tries, and struck out 92 batters in 62.1 innings, while pitching to a WHIP of 1.105 in his first season as a closer.
What makes him even more appealing is his contract. At age 28, Santos will make $1 million in 2012, $2.75 million in 2013, and $3.75 million in 2014. Then he has options for 2015, 2016, and 2017 at $6 million, $8 million, and 8.75 million. Each option carries only a $750k buyout. So, Santo's is only guaranteed $7.5 million paid out over the next 3 seasons. Heath Bell and Jonathan Pappelbon have already signed deals paying them more than this for just next year. No, I'm not saying that Santos is in the same class as Bell and Pappelbon. Just saying he's a lot cheaper, and very well could be in the same class.
Santos' came to the Blue Jays once before as a short stop prospect with Troy Glaus in the deal that sent Orlando Hudson and Miguel Batista to Arizona.
Nestor Molina spent most of this season in Dunedin (A), and then made four starts in New Hampshire (AA) where he was absolutely lights out, to finish out the year. At the two levels combined, he posted a record of 12 wins and 3 losses, with a 2.21 ERA, a 0.997 WHIP, and struck out 148 over 130.1 innings. He looks like he could be great. He could very well come back to bite Toronto in the butt.
Before you get too upset though, try googling former Jays first round draft pick Steve Karsay, or 1991 first overall pick Brien Taylor, and check out the numbers they posted in high A ball in 1992. Very similar to Molina, and neither went on to any notable achievements at the Major League level. In fact, Taylor never even made it. Karsay's career spanned 11 seasons, where he posted a losing record, with a career ERA of 4.01, and a WHIP of 1.38. It just goes to show that you never really know what you have when it comes to prospects.
As for the money comments from Alex Anthopoulos yesterday. Are they true? Your guess is as good as mine. What he said about the payroll rising as revenues rise makes sense, however I tend to lean towards the belief that he just said this to deter the media from continuing to report that the Jays are interested in Fielder.
Given what Anthopoulos has done so far since he's been sitting in the big boy chair though, it does appear that he is working within a budget. They sure haven't spent much. Considering that their payroll keeps decreasing, while television ratings and to a lesser extent, attendance are on the rise.
Time will tell.
Wednesday, December 7, 2011
Sunday, December 4, 2011
It's That Time of Year Again!
Once again, the most wonderful time of the year is upon us. No, not the holidays. It's Winter Meetings time again! The winter meetings generally are when the off-season moves really start to happen in the baseball world, and I think that Jays fans should expect to hear at least some news coming out of these meetings.
Anthopoulos has a wish list. His wish list doesn't match mine necessarily, but he does have one. As far as we know he will be heading to Dallas shopping for a second basemen, some bull pen help, and if all goes well a starting pitcher as well. Alex got one item checked off of his list yesterday when the Blue Jays found their replacement for Jose Molina and acquired their new back up catcher in Jeff Mathis.
Mathis comes to the Jays from the Angels by way of a trade sending pitcher Brad Mills the other way. I'm not really sure how I feel about this deal. On one hand, Mathis is a good defensive catcher, and has a reputation of being an asset in helping develop young pitchers. On the other hand, Mills is a left handed starter who has had a fair amount of success at the triple A level, and I'm not sure he won't develop into a fair, or even a good starter at the major league level. Time will tell. On the surface, I would have preferred to have picked up a back up catcher from the free agent market rather than trade to bring one in. I'm not really thrilled about sending Mills packing just a few months after shipping out Zach Stewart and Marc Rzepcynski. I just don't think that giving up an arm for a back up catcher (for one year none the less) is a great idea.
Anthopoulos has stated numerous times this off season that the Blue Jays intend to try to add through trades, and not by signing free agents. He has also said that the Jays will not pursuing any big name free agents. So I wouldn't expect to hear of any big free agent acquisitions coming our way. Once again Jays fans will have to wait, and find out what we have to give up to fill the holes we need filled.
My prediciton: Travis Snider is not a Blue Jay this time next week.
A lot of GM's view Snider the way that Anthopoulos viewed Colby Rasmus. High ceiling of talent that hasn't been realized yet. So there is interest there, and I can't help but get the feeling that the Blue Jays would rather move forward with Thames in LF over Snider. But hey, that's just me.
Personally, I would like to see Adam Lind in LF, making room for our new first basemen: Prince Fielder. However, we all know that isn't going to happen.
Happy Winter Meetings everyone!
Anthopoulos has a wish list. His wish list doesn't match mine necessarily, but he does have one. As far as we know he will be heading to Dallas shopping for a second basemen, some bull pen help, and if all goes well a starting pitcher as well. Alex got one item checked off of his list yesterday when the Blue Jays found their replacement for Jose Molina and acquired their new back up catcher in Jeff Mathis.
Mathis comes to the Jays from the Angels by way of a trade sending pitcher Brad Mills the other way. I'm not really sure how I feel about this deal. On one hand, Mathis is a good defensive catcher, and has a reputation of being an asset in helping develop young pitchers. On the other hand, Mills is a left handed starter who has had a fair amount of success at the triple A level, and I'm not sure he won't develop into a fair, or even a good starter at the major league level. Time will tell. On the surface, I would have preferred to have picked up a back up catcher from the free agent market rather than trade to bring one in. I'm not really thrilled about sending Mills packing just a few months after shipping out Zach Stewart and Marc Rzepcynski. I just don't think that giving up an arm for a back up catcher (for one year none the less) is a great idea.
Anthopoulos has stated numerous times this off season that the Blue Jays intend to try to add through trades, and not by signing free agents. He has also said that the Jays will not pursuing any big name free agents. So I wouldn't expect to hear of any big free agent acquisitions coming our way. Once again Jays fans will have to wait, and find out what we have to give up to fill the holes we need filled.
My prediciton: Travis Snider is not a Blue Jay this time next week.
A lot of GM's view Snider the way that Anthopoulos viewed Colby Rasmus. High ceiling of talent that hasn't been realized yet. So there is interest there, and I can't help but get the feeling that the Blue Jays would rather move forward with Thames in LF over Snider. But hey, that's just me.
Personally, I would like to see Adam Lind in LF, making room for our new first basemen: Prince Fielder. However, we all know that isn't going to happen.
Happy Winter Meetings everyone!
Thursday, November 10, 2011
Some Quick Notes From The Last Week
Giants Trade Jonathan Sanchez to Royals for Melky Cabrera
After having a career year in 2011, the KC Royals have traded Melky Cabrera to the SF Giants for lefty Jonathan Sanchez and minor league pitcher Ryan Verdugo. In my opinion, despite what their 2011 stats say, the Royals won this deal. I can't believe that the Giants had to throw in another pitcher to get it done. Cabrera posted a break out season in 2011, batting .305 with 18HR, and 87 RBI. Sanchez, who turns 29 next week, had a down year in 2011, but in 2010 was one of the Giants better pitchers down the stretch, posting a 3.07 ERA and striking out 205 over 193.1 innings pitched. I have more faith in Sanchez's upside than I do Cabrera's. This deal also benefits the Royals by clearing a spot in centre field for young phenom Lorenzo Cain.
Hentgen Out as Bullpen Coach
Former AL Cy Young award winner Pat Hentgen has stepped down as the Blue Jays bullpen coach. Hentgen quietly left the position on Monday citing personal reasons. The Blue Jays have announced that former Blue Jay Pete Walker will be his replacement. Hentgen will remain with the organization as a special assistant.
Jays Hire Chuck LaMar
In an effort to further bolster their scouting staff, the Blue Jays announced Friday that they had hired former Tampa Bay GM Chuck LaMar as a special assistant with an emphasis on amateur scouting. LaMar most recently served as an assistant GM for player development and scouting for the Phillies organization. LaMar was the first GM of the Tampa Bay Rays, and although he didn't have much success in terms of a win loss record in Tampa, his draft picks include: Josh Hamilton, Carl Crawford, B.J. Upton, James Shields, Jeff Niemann and Andy Sonnanstine.
Jays Pick Up Edwin's Option, Decline Rauch's
Well, what else can I say other than I agree with them here. $3 million is a cheap price to pay for a bat that has hit 38 HR in the last two seasons, is solid defender at first base, and who can fill in at third in a pinch. WHOA PEOPLE! PUT AWAY THAT LYNCH! I said in a pinch. In a pinch he can fill in. Cut him a little slack, you have to admit he played third base very well in September, and was making the throws consistently. I'm not saying I want him out there at third, I don't. Just saying that if the need arose, he can fill in. I would much rather have him in the lineup as a designated hitter or first basemen. I think that Edwin himself would tell you the same, and is clearly bothered by his play at third base. His offensive numbers reflect this. In 2011, Edwin batted just .213 with 3 HR when he played third base. However, he batted .305 when playing first, and .296 when he was in at DH with a total of 14 HR at the two positions. Edwin also brought his batting average up from from .225 in 2009, and .240 in 2010 up to .272 in 2011. I would like to see what he can do with a full season of just being the designated hitter or first baseman. With Brett Lawrie emerging this year in the second half, I doubt we will have to see him over at third very much in 2012. At $3 million for the season, I'm glad they have him back.
Rauch didn't have a terrible year, but he didn't have a good year either. His option was for $3.75 million in 2012, and for a guy who had an ERA close to 5 (4.85) and a whip of 1.35 in 2011, I think you can spend that money more effectively elsewhere. There are a lot of relievers on the free agent market this year.
Blue Jays Outright Jesse Carlson and Adam Loewen Off of Their 40 Man Roster
Last week the Jays designated both players for assignment, and have since they have been outrighted from the 40 man roster. This makes both players free agents. It's too bad for Loewen, he was a great story. A Canadian player who after making it as a pitcher, had to start over again and work his way up as an outfielder. I expect that Loewen will catch on somewhere this year with a team that can start him every day in the outfield for the 2012 season. Probably not a contending team, but I think someone will give him a shot.
Former Blue Jay Rod Barajas Signs with Pirates
About an hour ago, it was reported that former Jays catcher Rod Barajas has signed a 1 year $4 million contract with the Pittsburgh Pirates. The deal includes a club option for 2013 at $3.5 million. Barajas spent the 2011 season with the LA Dodgers where he hit .230 with 16 HR and an .287 OBP. It is likely that he will be the Pirate's starting catcher in 2012 with the departures of Ryan Doumit and Chris Snyder.
Speaking of Doumit and Snyder... Don't be surprised if one of these two guys is backing up JP in Toronto next season.
After having a career year in 2011, the KC Royals have traded Melky Cabrera to the SF Giants for lefty Jonathan Sanchez and minor league pitcher Ryan Verdugo. In my opinion, despite what their 2011 stats say, the Royals won this deal. I can't believe that the Giants had to throw in another pitcher to get it done. Cabrera posted a break out season in 2011, batting .305 with 18HR, and 87 RBI. Sanchez, who turns 29 next week, had a down year in 2011, but in 2010 was one of the Giants better pitchers down the stretch, posting a 3.07 ERA and striking out 205 over 193.1 innings pitched. I have more faith in Sanchez's upside than I do Cabrera's. This deal also benefits the Royals by clearing a spot in centre field for young phenom Lorenzo Cain.
Hentgen Out as Bullpen Coach
Former AL Cy Young award winner Pat Hentgen has stepped down as the Blue Jays bullpen coach. Hentgen quietly left the position on Monday citing personal reasons. The Blue Jays have announced that former Blue Jay Pete Walker will be his replacement. Hentgen will remain with the organization as a special assistant.
Jays Hire Chuck LaMar
In an effort to further bolster their scouting staff, the Blue Jays announced Friday that they had hired former Tampa Bay GM Chuck LaMar as a special assistant with an emphasis on amateur scouting. LaMar most recently served as an assistant GM for player development and scouting for the Phillies organization. LaMar was the first GM of the Tampa Bay Rays, and although he didn't have much success in terms of a win loss record in Tampa, his draft picks include: Josh Hamilton, Carl Crawford, B.J. Upton, James Shields, Jeff Niemann and Andy Sonnanstine.
Jays Pick Up Edwin's Option, Decline Rauch's
Well, what else can I say other than I agree with them here. $3 million is a cheap price to pay for a bat that has hit 38 HR in the last two seasons, is solid defender at first base, and who can fill in at third in a pinch. WHOA PEOPLE! PUT AWAY THAT LYNCH! I said in a pinch. In a pinch he can fill in. Cut him a little slack, you have to admit he played third base very well in September, and was making the throws consistently. I'm not saying I want him out there at third, I don't. Just saying that if the need arose, he can fill in. I would much rather have him in the lineup as a designated hitter or first basemen. I think that Edwin himself would tell you the same, and is clearly bothered by his play at third base. His offensive numbers reflect this. In 2011, Edwin batted just .213 with 3 HR when he played third base. However, he batted .305 when playing first, and .296 when he was in at DH with a total of 14 HR at the two positions. Edwin also brought his batting average up from from .225 in 2009, and .240 in 2010 up to .272 in 2011. I would like to see what he can do with a full season of just being the designated hitter or first baseman. With Brett Lawrie emerging this year in the second half, I doubt we will have to see him over at third very much in 2012. At $3 million for the season, I'm glad they have him back.
Rauch didn't have a terrible year, but he didn't have a good year either. His option was for $3.75 million in 2012, and for a guy who had an ERA close to 5 (4.85) and a whip of 1.35 in 2011, I think you can spend that money more effectively elsewhere. There are a lot of relievers on the free agent market this year.
Blue Jays Outright Jesse Carlson and Adam Loewen Off of Their 40 Man Roster
Last week the Jays designated both players for assignment, and have since they have been outrighted from the 40 man roster. This makes both players free agents. It's too bad for Loewen, he was a great story. A Canadian player who after making it as a pitcher, had to start over again and work his way up as an outfielder. I expect that Loewen will catch on somewhere this year with a team that can start him every day in the outfield for the 2012 season. Probably not a contending team, but I think someone will give him a shot.
Former Blue Jay Rod Barajas Signs with Pirates
About an hour ago, it was reported that former Jays catcher Rod Barajas has signed a 1 year $4 million contract with the Pittsburgh Pirates. The deal includes a club option for 2013 at $3.5 million. Barajas spent the 2011 season with the LA Dodgers where he hit .230 with 16 HR and an .287 OBP. It is likely that he will be the Pirate's starting catcher in 2012 with the departures of Ryan Doumit and Chris Snyder.
Speaking of Doumit and Snyder... Don't be surprised if one of these two guys is backing up JP in Toronto next season.
Wednesday, November 2, 2011
Here We Go....
Ladies and Gentlemen, welcome to the offseason. On Monday some announcements already started to come in, with a trade happening, a contract extension, and player options being picked up and declined.
The New York Yankees opted to extend CC Sabathia before he opted out of his contract. Sabathia agreed to a one-year extension worth $25 million for the 2016 season, and a vesting option for 2017 worth another $25 million. If the option for 2017 doesn't become vested, he'll get a $5 million buy out. The extension guarantees CC 122 million over the next 5 years. However we all assumed that even if CC did opt out of his current contract, that he was likely going to wind up still a Yankee with a new contract next year.
The real questions of the offseason: Where are Prince and Albert going to wind up?
My theory: Albert is not going anywhere.
Hear me out on this. I have listened to countless reports saying that there will be a bidding war, and that nobody knows where Albert is going to end up. My question to you is: Who is going to be doing the bidding? Because right now I can only see two teams with the resources and open roster space to accommodate the star. Maybe three teams..... maybe.
My apologies Jays fans, but Toronto isn't one of them. Despite possibly having the money to pay Pujols $30 million a year, Beeston has made it known that he would never sign off on a contract for that more than 5 years guaranteed.
It has been reported that Pujols is looking for a deal in the ball park of $300 million over 10 years, making him the first $300 million dollar player. There is some reason to believe this story. Last February the Cardinals were trying to lock up the three time MVP to a long term deal before spring training. The deal that they were willing to offer at that time, according to sources familiar with the process, described the package’s total value at more than $200 million paid out over a nine or 10 year term. Pujols rejected, and the deal was re-worked several times that involved shifting years and salary and apparently even an equity stake in the team. Pujols still declined, and entered the 2011 season as the last year in his current contract.
So let's assume that Albert is indeed looking for 8 to 10 years, and $25 to $30 million per season. What teams could afford the financial burden?
There are 12 teams in Major League Baseball with payrolls which exceeded $100 million over the 2011 Season. Let's take a look at each one, and see if either Albert or Prince fits. I am also going to assume that neither Pujols or Fielder will except a DH role.
1. The New York Yankees. 2011 payroll: $201,689,030
The Yankees do have $17 million coming off the books from Jorge Posada, however they are going to need most of that money to put towards a long term deal for Robinson Cano. The Yankees also have Mark Texiera locked up at first base through the 2016 season at $22.5 million per year. Texeira is not going to settle for a DH role. The Yankees also have Jesus Montero ready to step into the DH role for them in the 2012 season, and although they've solved the Sabathia problem, they still need to put any available resources into fixing their starting rotation. They need two more arms, and are expected to make an effort to sign a couple through free agency.
2. The Philadelphia Phillies. 2011 payroll: $172,976,381
Two words: Ryan Howard. Howard is locked up at first base through 2016 and is going to make $20 million each of the next two seasons, and $25 million the three following seasons. There is also a team option for 2017 at $23 million, with a $10 million buyout. So unless they are planning on trading him (good luck with that), Philadelphia is not in the running here.
3. The Boston Red Sox. 2011 payroll: $161,407,476
The Red Sox have Adrian Gonzalez signed through the 2018 season. He will make $21 million per year for the first five years, and $21.5 million for the next two. They could take a run at one of the two big ticket free agents to be their DH. However as I said before I don't think either would settle for a DH role. I suspect that if Boston is going to hand out a large contract to a position player, it would be Aramis Ramirez that they pursue. Moving Kevin Youkilis to the DH role for 2012. Assuming that they don't re-sign David Ortiz.
4. The LA Angels of Anaheim. 2011 payroll: $138,998,524
Ok, so the Angles could, potentially be a player here. I am unsure of the contract status of Kendrys Morales. He is not listed on the MLB free agents list, but his contract did run out at the end of 2011. So I am assuming that because he missed the 2011 season, he is still controlled by arbitration, and will be back with the Angels this year. If this is the case, then the Angels have Morales at first base, and Mark Trumbo to DH, or vice versa, and don't really have a place for either stud. However, Morales was making less than $3 million this year, and Trumbo is entering only his second year of service, so either player could easily be moved to another team to make room, but that doesn't seem to make much sense financially for the Angels. Morales is a Boras client though, so when it comes time to re-sign him, he will probably command a large salary. Perhaps the Angels would rather lock up Fielder or Pujols than give the money to Kendrys. As I said, they could potentially be a player.
5. The Chicago White Sox. 2011 payroll: $129,285,539
Adam Dunn is signed through 2014 and will make $14 million in 2012, and $15 million the two years following. Paul Konerko is signed through 2013 and will receive $12 million this year, and $13.5 million the year after. Neither of these guys is being moved. The White Sox don't have room for Prince or Albert.
6. The Chicago Cubs. 2011 payroll: $125,480,664
Bingo! One of these two big ticket free agents is going to land here next year. If the Cubs don't sign either of these guys, you can bet that they did everything in their power to try and make it happen. Chicago is under new management, and brought in Theo Epstein from Boston to try and take them to the promised land that they have not been to in over 100 years. The Cubs have been waiting for Pujols and Fielder. Last year when Derrek Lee left town, they signed Carlos Pena to a one year deal at $10 million to be a stop gap for them at first. Now, they have an open base, and money to burn. I think if you ask them, Pujols is the guy they want. I think Fielder is who they get though. Mainly because I am still of the opinion that Pujols is going to remain in St. Louis. So look for Prince Fielder at Wrigley next year, and probably for the 8 to 10 years following.
7. The New York Mets. 2011 payroll: $120,147,310
Normally, I would have thought that the Mets would be trying to get one of these guys. They are a big market team and could support the salary. There is potential that they could be in the running as well. However, given the ownership issues they are having in NY, I expect that Ike Davis will be manning first for them again this year.
8. The San Francisco Giants. 2011 payroll: $118,216,333
Technically the Giants could sign one of Albert or Prince, but they won't. Their payroll in 2010 was $96,277,833 and in 2009 it was $82,616,450. They are already outside of their comfort zone, and they have six free agents, and 13 salary arbitration eligible players, including Jonathan Sanchez and Tim Lincecum that they need to do something about. It is also rumored that they are hoping to resign Carlos Beltran. Aubrey Huff is currently signed to play first base for the Giants through the 2012 season.
9. The Minnesota Twins. 2011 payroll: $112,737,000
I'm not going to spend much time on this one. Justin Morneau and Joe Mauer are both locked up long term, and one of them is going to play first. Their 2011 payroll is also way over their 2010 and 2009 numbers (97 million, and 65 million respectively) and they have Jason Kubel, Micheal Cuddyer, Matt Capps and Joe Nathan to either re-sign or replace. They are not in the running for Pujols or Fielder.
10. The Detroit Tigers. 2011 payroll: $105,705,232
Miguel Cabrera at first base, Victor Martinez at DH. Enough said.
11. The St. Louis Cardinals. 2011 payroll: $105,433,572
They want Pujols back, and I'm hoping he stays here. Whether he'll be willing to take a hometown discount, your guess is as good as mine. It is very possible that he flees to Chicago for more money. However if I am a betting man, I think he's back in St. Louis next year, because I think the Cubs are the only real competition for him. If he does leave, it's not the end of the world for the Cardinals. They could have Berkman play first, and Allan Craig be the every day right fielder. However, if you've got Pujols and Wainwright coming back next year, it wouldn't be hard to start thinking repeat. All they need is a manager and a centre fielder.
12. The Los Angeles Dodgers. 2011 payroll: $103,788,990
The Dodgers would have been another team that I would have thought would be interested in the running this offseason. However, with their recent ownership issues, I don't think they are in any position to make a run at one of these guys. I'm counting the Dodgers out if they don't have a new owner with deep pockets by the end of November.
So to summarize, I don't see where the big bidding war is going to come from. They way I see it, The Cardinals, Cubs, and Angels are the only real players here, and who knows if the Angels really will be or not. It is possible that Pujols would leave St. Louis for Chicago. Chances are the Cubs can offer him more money than St. Louis. But if he really wants a 10 year deal, his best chance of getting this is probably to stay in St. Louis.
I reviewed the top twelve payrolls, but didn't mention any dark horses. If there is a dark horse in this race at all. I believe it's Baltimore. Baltimore had money to burn last year, and no one would take it. They are focused on becoming better and competing in the AL east, and if their young pitching materializes in 2012, they may only be one big piece away from competing. However, I would see Baltimore being used more as a bargaining chip than anything else. Fielder and Pujols' agents would probably take offers from Baltimore, only to play them against the teams they will actually end up signing with. Baltimore is not yet an attractive landing place for free agents.
If Albert stays in St. Louis, then I will bet my car that Fielder goes to the Cubs. If Pujols goes to the Cubs, Then I suspect that Fielder will go to the Angels, Dodgers or Mets for not near the money that everyone seems to think. It would be much closer to the $20 million mark than $30 million. I suspect that Scott Boras will want Prince to wait until after Pujols has a deal, to sign his. My advice to Prince would be to sign first. Because if he waits, and Albert goes to the Cubs, there just may not be much money left for Prince. Certainly not paid out over 7 to 10 years.
But, we will all have to anxiously wait and see.
The New York Yankees opted to extend CC Sabathia before he opted out of his contract. Sabathia agreed to a one-year extension worth $25 million for the 2016 season, and a vesting option for 2017 worth another $25 million. If the option for 2017 doesn't become vested, he'll get a $5 million buy out. The extension guarantees CC 122 million over the next 5 years. However we all assumed that even if CC did opt out of his current contract, that he was likely going to wind up still a Yankee with a new contract next year.
The real questions of the offseason: Where are Prince and Albert going to wind up?
My theory: Albert is not going anywhere.
Hear me out on this. I have listened to countless reports saying that there will be a bidding war, and that nobody knows where Albert is going to end up. My question to you is: Who is going to be doing the bidding? Because right now I can only see two teams with the resources and open roster space to accommodate the star. Maybe three teams..... maybe.
My apologies Jays fans, but Toronto isn't one of them. Despite possibly having the money to pay Pujols $30 million a year, Beeston has made it known that he would never sign off on a contract for that more than 5 years guaranteed.
It has been reported that Pujols is looking for a deal in the ball park of $300 million over 10 years, making him the first $300 million dollar player. There is some reason to believe this story. Last February the Cardinals were trying to lock up the three time MVP to a long term deal before spring training. The deal that they were willing to offer at that time, according to sources familiar with the process, described the package’s total value at more than $200 million paid out over a nine or 10 year term. Pujols rejected, and the deal was re-worked several times that involved shifting years and salary and apparently even an equity stake in the team. Pujols still declined, and entered the 2011 season as the last year in his current contract.
So let's assume that Albert is indeed looking for 8 to 10 years, and $25 to $30 million per season. What teams could afford the financial burden?
There are 12 teams in Major League Baseball with payrolls which exceeded $100 million over the 2011 Season. Let's take a look at each one, and see if either Albert or Prince fits. I am also going to assume that neither Pujols or Fielder will except a DH role.
1. The New York Yankees. 2011 payroll: $201,689,030
The Yankees do have $17 million coming off the books from Jorge Posada, however they are going to need most of that money to put towards a long term deal for Robinson Cano. The Yankees also have Mark Texiera locked up at first base through the 2016 season at $22.5 million per year. Texeira is not going to settle for a DH role. The Yankees also have Jesus Montero ready to step into the DH role for them in the 2012 season, and although they've solved the Sabathia problem, they still need to put any available resources into fixing their starting rotation. They need two more arms, and are expected to make an effort to sign a couple through free agency.
2. The Philadelphia Phillies. 2011 payroll: $172,976,381
Two words: Ryan Howard. Howard is locked up at first base through 2016 and is going to make $20 million each of the next two seasons, and $25 million the three following seasons. There is also a team option for 2017 at $23 million, with a $10 million buyout. So unless they are planning on trading him (good luck with that), Philadelphia is not in the running here.
3. The Boston Red Sox. 2011 payroll: $161,407,476
The Red Sox have Adrian Gonzalez signed through the 2018 season. He will make $21 million per year for the first five years, and $21.5 million for the next two. They could take a run at one of the two big ticket free agents to be their DH. However as I said before I don't think either would settle for a DH role. I suspect that if Boston is going to hand out a large contract to a position player, it would be Aramis Ramirez that they pursue. Moving Kevin Youkilis to the DH role for 2012. Assuming that they don't re-sign David Ortiz.
4. The LA Angels of Anaheim. 2011 payroll: $138,998,524
Ok, so the Angles could, potentially be a player here. I am unsure of the contract status of Kendrys Morales. He is not listed on the MLB free agents list, but his contract did run out at the end of 2011. So I am assuming that because he missed the 2011 season, he is still controlled by arbitration, and will be back with the Angels this year. If this is the case, then the Angels have Morales at first base, and Mark Trumbo to DH, or vice versa, and don't really have a place for either stud. However, Morales was making less than $3 million this year, and Trumbo is entering only his second year of service, so either player could easily be moved to another team to make room, but that doesn't seem to make much sense financially for the Angels. Morales is a Boras client though, so when it comes time to re-sign him, he will probably command a large salary. Perhaps the Angels would rather lock up Fielder or Pujols than give the money to Kendrys. As I said, they could potentially be a player.
5. The Chicago White Sox. 2011 payroll: $129,285,539
Adam Dunn is signed through 2014 and will make $14 million in 2012, and $15 million the two years following. Paul Konerko is signed through 2013 and will receive $12 million this year, and $13.5 million the year after. Neither of these guys is being moved. The White Sox don't have room for Prince or Albert.
6. The Chicago Cubs. 2011 payroll: $125,480,664
Bingo! One of these two big ticket free agents is going to land here next year. If the Cubs don't sign either of these guys, you can bet that they did everything in their power to try and make it happen. Chicago is under new management, and brought in Theo Epstein from Boston to try and take them to the promised land that they have not been to in over 100 years. The Cubs have been waiting for Pujols and Fielder. Last year when Derrek Lee left town, they signed Carlos Pena to a one year deal at $10 million to be a stop gap for them at first. Now, they have an open base, and money to burn. I think if you ask them, Pujols is the guy they want. I think Fielder is who they get though. Mainly because I am still of the opinion that Pujols is going to remain in St. Louis. So look for Prince Fielder at Wrigley next year, and probably for the 8 to 10 years following.
7. The New York Mets. 2011 payroll: $120,147,310
Normally, I would have thought that the Mets would be trying to get one of these guys. They are a big market team and could support the salary. There is potential that they could be in the running as well. However, given the ownership issues they are having in NY, I expect that Ike Davis will be manning first for them again this year.
8. The San Francisco Giants. 2011 payroll: $118,216,333
Technically the Giants could sign one of Albert or Prince, but they won't. Their payroll in 2010 was $96,277,833 and in 2009 it was $82,616,450. They are already outside of their comfort zone, and they have six free agents, and 13 salary arbitration eligible players, including Jonathan Sanchez and Tim Lincecum that they need to do something about. It is also rumored that they are hoping to resign Carlos Beltran. Aubrey Huff is currently signed to play first base for the Giants through the 2012 season.
9. The Minnesota Twins. 2011 payroll: $112,737,000
I'm not going to spend much time on this one. Justin Morneau and Joe Mauer are both locked up long term, and one of them is going to play first. Their 2011 payroll is also way over their 2010 and 2009 numbers (97 million, and 65 million respectively) and they have Jason Kubel, Micheal Cuddyer, Matt Capps and Joe Nathan to either re-sign or replace. They are not in the running for Pujols or Fielder.
10. The Detroit Tigers. 2011 payroll: $105,705,232
Miguel Cabrera at first base, Victor Martinez at DH. Enough said.
11. The St. Louis Cardinals. 2011 payroll: $105,433,572
They want Pujols back, and I'm hoping he stays here. Whether he'll be willing to take a hometown discount, your guess is as good as mine. It is very possible that he flees to Chicago for more money. However if I am a betting man, I think he's back in St. Louis next year, because I think the Cubs are the only real competition for him. If he does leave, it's not the end of the world for the Cardinals. They could have Berkman play first, and Allan Craig be the every day right fielder. However, if you've got Pujols and Wainwright coming back next year, it wouldn't be hard to start thinking repeat. All they need is a manager and a centre fielder.
12. The Los Angeles Dodgers. 2011 payroll: $103,788,990
The Dodgers would have been another team that I would have thought would be interested in the running this offseason. However, with their recent ownership issues, I don't think they are in any position to make a run at one of these guys. I'm counting the Dodgers out if they don't have a new owner with deep pockets by the end of November.
So to summarize, I don't see where the big bidding war is going to come from. They way I see it, The Cardinals, Cubs, and Angels are the only real players here, and who knows if the Angels really will be or not. It is possible that Pujols would leave St. Louis for Chicago. Chances are the Cubs can offer him more money than St. Louis. But if he really wants a 10 year deal, his best chance of getting this is probably to stay in St. Louis.
I reviewed the top twelve payrolls, but didn't mention any dark horses. If there is a dark horse in this race at all. I believe it's Baltimore. Baltimore had money to burn last year, and no one would take it. They are focused on becoming better and competing in the AL east, and if their young pitching materializes in 2012, they may only be one big piece away from competing. However, I would see Baltimore being used more as a bargaining chip than anything else. Fielder and Pujols' agents would probably take offers from Baltimore, only to play them against the teams they will actually end up signing with. Baltimore is not yet an attractive landing place for free agents.
If Albert stays in St. Louis, then I will bet my car that Fielder goes to the Cubs. If Pujols goes to the Cubs, Then I suspect that Fielder will go to the Angels, Dodgers or Mets for not near the money that everyone seems to think. It would be much closer to the $20 million mark than $30 million. I suspect that Scott Boras will want Prince to wait until after Pujols has a deal, to sign his. My advice to Prince would be to sign first. Because if he waits, and Albert goes to the Cubs, there just may not be much money left for Prince. Certainly not paid out over 7 to 10 years.
But, we will all have to anxiously wait and see.
Monday, October 31, 2011
Excuse Me While I Pout
Alright, I get it. It's a story book season. In March, they lost their ace pitcher and 2010 Cy Young runner up for the season. On August 25 they were 10.5 games out of the wild card spot, and they fought all the way back to clinch the playoff birth on the last day of the regular season. Thursday night they were one strike away from losing the World Series, two innings in a row. All the odds were against the 'poor Cardinals'. Now, the St. Louis Cardinals are World Series Champions. Again. Whoopie Frickin Doo.
No I don't have a good reason for not liking the Cardinals, I just don't. I'm tired of Tony LaRussa, I have no respect for Albert Pujols after turning down a lucrative offer from St. Louis because he wants to be the first 300 million dollar player, and I'm still ticked at Mark McGwire for trying to run over Pat Borders in the 1992 ALCS. The fact that they won is completely Boo Sucky!
Ok, I'm off my soap box. I will put my big boy pants on, and be an adult now.
It really was a storybook season for the Cardinals. In March they received the devastating news that their staff ace Adam Wainwright would require Tommy John surgery, and was out for the season. On August 25 they were 10.5 games behind the Atlanta Braves for the National League wild card spot, and put up a remarkable 23 and 8 record the rest of the way to pass Atlanta on the last day of the regular season and squeak into the playoffs. Only to meet their next hurdle in the first round. The Philadelphia Phillies and their major league best 102-60 win loss record.
The Cards dropped two of the first three to Philly, and found themselves on the brink of elimination when hometown boy David Freese put up a four RBI performance to help lead them to victory in game 4. Then, I sincerely hope that if you only saw one game these entire playoffs before the world series, that it was game 5 of the NLDS between the Cardinals and Phillies. Roy Halladay versus Chris Carpenter for the first time in their careers. Carpenter was nothing short of amazing. Halladay was good, don't get me wrong. He allowed six hits, and struck out seven over eight innings of work. However he had a tough first inning in which he gave up a lead off triple to Rafeal Furcal, and then a double to the next batter, Skip Schumaker. That one run would prove to be the difference in the game. Carpenter couldn't miss. He kept pounding the lower half of the strike zone inducing ground ball after ground ball after ground ball. He went on to throw a complete game shutout, giving up only 3 hits, and striking out 3, and walking no one. As a fan of good pitching, this game was a real treat to watch.
The Cardinal's next opponents were the NL Central champion Milwaukee Brewers. I didn't watch a lot of this series. I was rooting for the Brew Crew, and I was disappointed that Shaun Marcum had such a rough post season. I did watch his starts. Well, for as long as he was in them. The Cards finished them off in 6 games, and it wasn't really close. One of the Cards wins was a one run game. In the other three Cardinals victories, the combined score was 31 - 10. This series very likely marked the last time you will see Prince Fielder in a Brewers jersey. Next year he'll be in Chicago. But we'll get to that later.
Then came the Rangers. A team that I had the pleasure of seeing in their home park this year. I like the rangers. They have a great line up top to bottom, and they are a fun team to watch. They had two 11th inning home runs against the Tigers in the ALCS, and I really thought that they were going to bring the World Series home this year. They left Texas with a 3-2 series lead...... Then came game six. In a game in which the first six innings it seemed like nobody wanted to win, the last five innings proved that neither team wanted to lose. With a two run lead in the bottom of the ninth, on came Feliz. Series over right?? So we all thought. Two outs, two strikes, two RBI's, game continues. On to the tenth inning. Two outs, two strikes, rbi from NL come back player of the year Lance Berkman, game continues. On to the eleventh inning. Bottom of the eleventh hometown hero David Freese hits a solo shot and forces game seven. Texas becomes the first team to be one strike away from a world series championship twice in the same game... and lose.
Up until game seven, I had watched all of the world series thus far. I watched game seven as well. Right up until Albert Pujols was hit by a pitch with two strikes against him, and then they loaded the bases and walked in two runs. That was when for the interest of my health I turned the game off.
I hear St. Louis won, and David Freese won the MVP. I kind of suspect they may build him a statue in St. Louis.
No I don't have a good reason for not liking the Cardinals, I just don't. I'm tired of Tony LaRussa, I have no respect for Albert Pujols after turning down a lucrative offer from St. Louis because he wants to be the first 300 million dollar player, and I'm still ticked at Mark McGwire for trying to run over Pat Borders in the 1992 ALCS. The fact that they won is completely Boo Sucky!
Ok, I'm off my soap box. I will put my big boy pants on, and be an adult now.
It really was a storybook season for the Cardinals. In March they received the devastating news that their staff ace Adam Wainwright would require Tommy John surgery, and was out for the season. On August 25 they were 10.5 games behind the Atlanta Braves for the National League wild card spot, and put up a remarkable 23 and 8 record the rest of the way to pass Atlanta on the last day of the regular season and squeak into the playoffs. Only to meet their next hurdle in the first round. The Philadelphia Phillies and their major league best 102-60 win loss record.
The Cards dropped two of the first three to Philly, and found themselves on the brink of elimination when hometown boy David Freese put up a four RBI performance to help lead them to victory in game 4. Then, I sincerely hope that if you only saw one game these entire playoffs before the world series, that it was game 5 of the NLDS between the Cardinals and Phillies. Roy Halladay versus Chris Carpenter for the first time in their careers. Carpenter was nothing short of amazing. Halladay was good, don't get me wrong. He allowed six hits, and struck out seven over eight innings of work. However he had a tough first inning in which he gave up a lead off triple to Rafeal Furcal, and then a double to the next batter, Skip Schumaker. That one run would prove to be the difference in the game. Carpenter couldn't miss. He kept pounding the lower half of the strike zone inducing ground ball after ground ball after ground ball. He went on to throw a complete game shutout, giving up only 3 hits, and striking out 3, and walking no one. As a fan of good pitching, this game was a real treat to watch.
The Cardinal's next opponents were the NL Central champion Milwaukee Brewers. I didn't watch a lot of this series. I was rooting for the Brew Crew, and I was disappointed that Shaun Marcum had such a rough post season. I did watch his starts. Well, for as long as he was in them. The Cards finished them off in 6 games, and it wasn't really close. One of the Cards wins was a one run game. In the other three Cardinals victories, the combined score was 31 - 10. This series very likely marked the last time you will see Prince Fielder in a Brewers jersey. Next year he'll be in Chicago. But we'll get to that later.
Then came the Rangers. A team that I had the pleasure of seeing in their home park this year. I like the rangers. They have a great line up top to bottom, and they are a fun team to watch. They had two 11th inning home runs against the Tigers in the ALCS, and I really thought that they were going to bring the World Series home this year. They left Texas with a 3-2 series lead...... Then came game six. In a game in which the first six innings it seemed like nobody wanted to win, the last five innings proved that neither team wanted to lose. With a two run lead in the bottom of the ninth, on came Feliz. Series over right?? So we all thought. Two outs, two strikes, two RBI's, game continues. On to the tenth inning. Two outs, two strikes, rbi from NL come back player of the year Lance Berkman, game continues. On to the eleventh inning. Bottom of the eleventh hometown hero David Freese hits a solo shot and forces game seven. Texas becomes the first team to be one strike away from a world series championship twice in the same game... and lose.
Up until game seven, I had watched all of the world series thus far. I watched game seven as well. Right up until Albert Pujols was hit by a pitch with two strikes against him, and then they loaded the bases and walked in two runs. That was when for the interest of my health I turned the game off.
I hear St. Louis won, and David Freese won the MVP. I kind of suspect they may build him a statue in St. Louis.
Saturday, August 27, 2011
That Was Hard to Watch
For the second night in a row our boys in blue gave us little to cheer about. Last night dropping the series finale to the Royals 9-6, and tonight losing the opener to the Rays 6-1. James Sheilds held the Jays to 1 run on 7 hits tonight. Striking out 12 on his way to his tenth complete game of the season.
Despite coming out on the wrong side of the stat sheet, there were some positives that Jays fans can take away from both games. Toronto's 1 run tonight came off the bat of Brett Lawrie, hitting his fifth home run already this season in just twenty games.
Last night Jose Bautista went 2 for 3 with two walks, a double and a run scored, and Edwin Encarnacion had a double and went deep for his thirteenth of the season.
The most notable positive for the Jays last night however was JP Arencibia going yard for the twentieth time this season to tie John Buck for the franchise record for most home runs by a catcher in a single season. JP needs one more to capture sole possession of the record, and he's got just over a month to get it done in. Congratulations JP on tying the record.
Although the Blue Jays had a less than steller night against the Royals last night, there were a handful of Canadian players who did. Starting with two in this very game. Jeff Francis started the game for the Royals, and threw 6 innings, allowing just two runs and striking out 5.
On the other side of the diamond, Brett Lawrie collected two hits including a triple for the Blue Jays. But Francis and Lawrie weren't the only two Canadian big leaguers having a good night last night.
Chris Leroux (born in Montreal, attended high school in Mississauga) who is quietly having a very good season in Pittsburgh, struck out three and walked just one working two scoreless innings for the Priates. Justin Morneau had a good night as well going 2 for 3 with a double, a walk, and an RBI for the twins.
The story of the evening for Canadian players, unfortunately, goes to a Yankee. Russel Martin was 5 for 5 with two home runs (one of which a grand slam), a double, three runs scored, and six RBI's to lead the Yankees over the Athletics 22 - 9 in New York last night. Martin had 12 total bases on the night. Which is the second only to Larry Walker for the most total bases in a game for a Canadian player.
Joey Votto should also have honourable mention here. Even though his Reds didn't play Thursday, they were part of a double header on Wednesday, and Votto when deep in both games of the double dip.
So if it's any consolation, even though "Canada's Team" may have had a few rough nights, it appears that Canada has still been very well represented in the world of Major League Baseball. Having said that, let's hope the Blue Jays can get back on track with a win tomorrow.
Despite coming out on the wrong side of the stat sheet, there were some positives that Jays fans can take away from both games. Toronto's 1 run tonight came off the bat of Brett Lawrie, hitting his fifth home run already this season in just twenty games.
Last night Jose Bautista went 2 for 3 with two walks, a double and a run scored, and Edwin Encarnacion had a double and went deep for his thirteenth of the season.
The most notable positive for the Jays last night however was JP Arencibia going yard for the twentieth time this season to tie John Buck for the franchise record for most home runs by a catcher in a single season. JP needs one more to capture sole possession of the record, and he's got just over a month to get it done in. Congratulations JP on tying the record.
Although the Blue Jays had a less than steller night against the Royals last night, there were a handful of Canadian players who did. Starting with two in this very game. Jeff Francis started the game for the Royals, and threw 6 innings, allowing just two runs and striking out 5.
On the other side of the diamond, Brett Lawrie collected two hits including a triple for the Blue Jays. But Francis and Lawrie weren't the only two Canadian big leaguers having a good night last night.
Chris Leroux (born in Montreal, attended high school in Mississauga) who is quietly having a very good season in Pittsburgh, struck out three and walked just one working two scoreless innings for the Priates. Justin Morneau had a good night as well going 2 for 3 with a double, a walk, and an RBI for the twins.
The story of the evening for Canadian players, unfortunately, goes to a Yankee. Russel Martin was 5 for 5 with two home runs (one of which a grand slam), a double, three runs scored, and six RBI's to lead the Yankees over the Athletics 22 - 9 in New York last night. Martin had 12 total bases on the night. Which is the second only to Larry Walker for the most total bases in a game for a Canadian player.
Joey Votto should also have honourable mention here. Even though his Reds didn't play Thursday, they were part of a double header on Wednesday, and Votto when deep in both games of the double dip.
So if it's any consolation, even though "Canada's Team" may have had a few rough nights, it appears that Canada has still been very well represented in the world of Major League Baseball. Having said that, let's hope the Blue Jays can get back on track with a win tomorrow.
Thursday, August 25, 2011
Some Thoughts on the Hill, MacDonald, Johnson Deal
By now you've heard that on Tuesday the Blue Jays traded second baseman Aaron Hill, and fan favorite John McDonald to Arizona in exchange for second basemen Kelly Johnson.
Despite having their starting short stop and first basemen sidelined due to injury, and being on a six game losing streak before the trade (snapped with a 2-0 victory over Washington Tuesday night) The Diamondbacks have found themselves with a two game lead over divisional rival and the defending World Series Champion San Francisco Giants.
Even though they lead the division, Arizona felt they needed to do something to try and spark their offense after batting just .167 and scoring only 10 runs in their previous seven games. They're hoping the change of scenery will help Aaron Hill find his lost bat, and that MacDonald will provide solid defense to help out Willie Bloomquist at shortstop.
Both Hill and McDonald voiced that they were happy to be going to a team with a chance to play ball in October, and that they were open to the prospect of coming back to Toronto at seasons end. A little odd, but understandable.
However, I'm not telling you anything you haven't already heard.
What surprises me about this trade, has been the reaction both from some media members, and fan reaction that I have read on Twitter. A lot of people are of the opinion that this was a move to have Kelly Johnson come in and play for a month, and then collect a higher draft pick than what you would have gotten from Aaron Hill if he were to have walked at seasons end. I do not understand why this is the general consensus.
I realize that Alex Anthopoulos has said that the deal was orchestrated from Arizona's end, and not his own. (and we all know dear Alex would never mislead us when it comes to player acquisitions) But doesn't Johnson fit the type of player that Anthopoulos has been targeting? No, he's not as young as a typical AA addition seems to be. However he was a first round draft pick, and is on the right side of 30 with high upside in a down year.
In 2007, his first full season with Atlanta, Johnson batted .276 with 16 HR and 26 2B. In 2008 he had a slight power drop off to 12 HR, but increased his average to .287 and smacked 39 doubles. His best all around season to date was 2010, his first in Arizona, when he hit .284 with 26 dingers and 36 2B.
As I said, he is in a down year. But in a down year he still has 18 HR to date, and is moving into a hitters park.
I don't think that Johnson walking at the end of this season for a higher draft pick is Anthopoulos' primary goal here. Is it possible? Sure it is. But we were going to need a second basemen next year with Aaron Hill's contract being up, and the free agent pool at second base is not deep. Why not bring in Johnson for a five week audition? Who knows, maybe we can sell him on playing in a city that free agents don't seem to be banging down the door to come and play in.
When asked by friends this year who was going to be playing second base in 2012, There were three names that I gave them. I would tell them probably Aaron Hill, but I wouldn't be surprised to see a guy like Gordon Beckham or Kelly Johnson end up here. They just seem like the types of guys that Alex is trying to build the team around: Talented players in need of a change of scenery that can be brought in without selling the farm.
On the other side, I'm sad to see Hill and McDonald go. It is nice to see them going to a contending team, but still tough to see two long serving and well liked Blue Jays leave town.
I suspect that we haven't seen the last of John McDonald. He'll be back. Whether it's as a player or as a coach, I don't know. But he'll be back.
By the way Jays fans, take a look at that Arizona Diamondbacks starting infield... Four former Blue Jays. Just sayin...
Despite having their starting short stop and first basemen sidelined due to injury, and being on a six game losing streak before the trade (snapped with a 2-0 victory over Washington Tuesday night) The Diamondbacks have found themselves with a two game lead over divisional rival and the defending World Series Champion San Francisco Giants.
Even though they lead the division, Arizona felt they needed to do something to try and spark their offense after batting just .167 and scoring only 10 runs in their previous seven games. They're hoping the change of scenery will help Aaron Hill find his lost bat, and that MacDonald will provide solid defense to help out Willie Bloomquist at shortstop.
Both Hill and McDonald voiced that they were happy to be going to a team with a chance to play ball in October, and that they were open to the prospect of coming back to Toronto at seasons end. A little odd, but understandable.
However, I'm not telling you anything you haven't already heard.
What surprises me about this trade, has been the reaction both from some media members, and fan reaction that I have read on Twitter. A lot of people are of the opinion that this was a move to have Kelly Johnson come in and play for a month, and then collect a higher draft pick than what you would have gotten from Aaron Hill if he were to have walked at seasons end. I do not understand why this is the general consensus.
I realize that Alex Anthopoulos has said that the deal was orchestrated from Arizona's end, and not his own. (and we all know dear Alex would never mislead us when it comes to player acquisitions) But doesn't Johnson fit the type of player that Anthopoulos has been targeting? No, he's not as young as a typical AA addition seems to be. However he was a first round draft pick, and is on the right side of 30 with high upside in a down year.
In 2007, his first full season with Atlanta, Johnson batted .276 with 16 HR and 26 2B. In 2008 he had a slight power drop off to 12 HR, but increased his average to .287 and smacked 39 doubles. His best all around season to date was 2010, his first in Arizona, when he hit .284 with 26 dingers and 36 2B.
As I said, he is in a down year. But in a down year he still has 18 HR to date, and is moving into a hitters park.
I don't think that Johnson walking at the end of this season for a higher draft pick is Anthopoulos' primary goal here. Is it possible? Sure it is. But we were going to need a second basemen next year with Aaron Hill's contract being up, and the free agent pool at second base is not deep. Why not bring in Johnson for a five week audition? Who knows, maybe we can sell him on playing in a city that free agents don't seem to be banging down the door to come and play in.
When asked by friends this year who was going to be playing second base in 2012, There were three names that I gave them. I would tell them probably Aaron Hill, but I wouldn't be surprised to see a guy like Gordon Beckham or Kelly Johnson end up here. They just seem like the types of guys that Alex is trying to build the team around: Talented players in need of a change of scenery that can be brought in without selling the farm.
On the other side, I'm sad to see Hill and McDonald go. It is nice to see them going to a contending team, but still tough to see two long serving and well liked Blue Jays leave town.
I suspect that we haven't seen the last of John McDonald. He'll be back. Whether it's as a player or as a coach, I don't know. But he'll be back.
By the way Jays fans, take a look at that Arizona Diamondbacks starting infield... Four former Blue Jays. Just sayin...
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